| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 48 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 49 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 50 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 51 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 52 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 53 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 54 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| At least 55 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the ISM Manufacturing PMI will be reported for March 2026; the result is watched as a timely indicator of U.S. factory activity and can move financial markets and policy expectations.
The ISM Manufacturing PMI is a monthly survey-based index published by the Institute for Supply Management that summarizes manufacturing contacts' views on new orders, production, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventories. It has a long track record as an early read on the manufacturing cycle and is monitored by traders, economists, and policymakers; the March 2026 reading will be interpreted in the context of recent macro data, supply-chain dynamics, and global demand conditions.
Prediction market prices aggregate traders' expectations about which predefined PMI outcome will be announced for March 2026; treat market odds as a real-time consensus signal that can change as new information arrives, not a guarantee of the result.
Settlement is based on the official ISM publication for March 2026; the market will settle after the ISM posts its March figure—check the market page and the platform's settlement rules for the exact timing once the release date is confirmed.
Each of the eight mutually exclusive outcomes corresponds to a specific bracket or discrete result defined by the contract creator; consult the market listing on the platform to see the exact mapping between outcome labels and PMI ranges or values used for settlement.
The official ISM Manufacturing PMI number published by the Institute for Supply Management for March 2026 is the settlement source; if ISM issues revisions, the market's stated settlement policy will indicate whether initial or revised figures are used.
Intermediate data such as weekly factory activity surveys, regional manufacturing reports, industrial production, durable goods orders, large supplier announcements, or sudden geopolitical or trade developments can materially shift expectations and thus market prices ahead of the ISM release.
Low trading volume means prices may be less liquid and more sensitive to individual trades; use caution when interpreting or acting on prices, look for changes in activity or order-book depth, and consider complementing market signals with independent data and analysis.