| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.9229 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the HYPE crypto instrument will meet a $40.9229 price target within a specified 15-minute window on KALSHI; it matters to traders who want to express or hedge views on very short-term price moves.
Short-duration crypto markets like this compress the usual drivers of price — order-book dynamics, algorithmic trading, and news — into a very small time frame. Historically, 15-minute targets are dominated by liquidity spikes, exchange-level price discrepancies, and headline-driven moves rather than fundamental valuation changes. The market currently shows low reported volume and the official close time is marked TBD on the event page, so details and liquidity can change quickly.
Market odds on this page represent the market's evolving consensus about whether the price target will be met during the 15-minute window and will update in real time as new information arrives. Treat displayed prices as a tradeable sentiment indicator, not fixed probabilities — check the market page for live quotes and execution details.
Resolution depends on the market's published rules: typically a market resolves 'yes' if the official price source used by the platform records a trade/quote meeting the target during the specified 15-minute interval. Consult the event's resolution criteria on the KALSHI market page for the definitive rule set.
The precise start and end timestamps are shown on the market page when the event is scheduled; this particular listing currently shows the close time as TBD, so check the KALSHI interface or notifications for updated start/end information.
Platforms use a prioritized list of data sources and formal fallback procedures for outages or discrepancies. If primary feeds fail, KALSHI will follow its published resolution and fallback rules—review the market's resolution policy for specifics on data-source hierarchy and adjudication.
Low or zero trading volume indicates thin participation so far, which can make quoted market prices more sensitive to single large trades and less reflective of broad consensus. Volume can change rapidly; skepticism about price signals is warranted until liquidity increases.
Whether a momentary touch counts depends on the exact resolution definition (e.g., any trade/quote versus a sustained price). Many short-window markets count any qualifying trade or exchange-quoted price that meets the threshold, but you should verify the event's resolution text on KALSHI to confirm how transient prints are treated.