| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.8662 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the referenced crypto asset (labeled HYPE) will reach a price target of $40.8662 within a 15-minute observation window. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they isolate immediate liquidity and execution risks that drive fast intraday moves.
Markets of this type are common in crypto, where high volatility and concentrated order flow can produce large price moves in minutes. Settlement is tied to a specific reference price source and timestamped trades; the event title encodes the asset ticker, window length, and target but the platform's event metadata holds the definitive identifiers. Because this listing shows the closing time as TBD, traders should consult the event page for the official start/end timestamps and settlement rules once published.
Market odds reflect the aggregation of traders' expectations and the balance of buy/sell interest at any moment, not a fixed scientific measure. Use them as a live gauge of market sentiment and liquidity conditions rather than an immutable forecast.
It asks whether the specified HYPE asset will meet the $40.8662 price target within a continuous 15-minute observation window; check the event's rules to confirm whether 'meet' means a trade at or above the target, a quoted price, or another settlement definition.
The platform will publish the official start timestamp for the 15-minute window on the event page. Because this listing currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the event page for the announced start time; the window runs for a continuous 15 minutes from that start.
Settlement uses the reference source specified in the event metadata on the platform (a particular exchange, an index, or Kalshi's designated feed). Consult the event details to see the authoritative exchange or aggregation method.
No — the prediction market's traded volume only shows trader interest in the contract. Outcome determination depends solely on the underlying asset's price on the designated reference at the relevant times.
Common catalysts include breaking project news or regulatory announcements, large market orders or liquidations, exchange-specific events (outages or delistings), and rapid algorithmic or arbitrage activity that moves prices quickly in a short interval.