| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.7730 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled HYPE will reach a price target of $40.7730 within a specific 15-minute window. Short-duration target markets matter because they isolate immediate liquidity and volatility dynamics, useful for traders betting on near-term price moves.
HYPE is traded in crypto markets that can exhibit high intraday volatility, and a 15-minute target captures very short-run order flow and news sensitivity. Markets like this are commonly used for event-driven trading, arbitrage, and volatility speculation; outcomes depend heavily on minute-by-minute trading activity rather than long-term fundamentals. Because the market closes and settles according to the platform's published rules and data feed, precise wording in the event description determines what price prints count toward settlement.
Market odds reflect the market's aggregated view of whether the price condition will be met during the 15-minute window and can move rapidly as new trades, orders, or news arrive. Interpret odds as a real-time indicator of market consensus about short-term price action, not as a long-term forecast.
Meeting the target generally means that a trade at or above $40.7730 is recorded by the designated price feed during the defined 15-minute window; the market will settle based on the event definition and the specific data source named in the market's rules.
The start time is specified in the market listing on KALSHI; if the event shows 'Closes: TBD' the precise start or settlement window should be detailed in the market description or rulebook—check the event page for the official timestamp and timezone.
KALSHI (the market operator) settles the market according to the event definition on the listing, using the designated data provider or exchange identified there; consult the market description to see which feed governs settlement.
Significant interruptions can trigger the platform's contingency rules, which may include suspension, rescheduling, or alternative settlement procedures described in KALSHI's terms; the market operator will publish the outcome if such an event affects settlement.
Zero or low volume indicates limited liquidity and that posted prices may reflect a few orders rather than broad consensus; prices can change quickly once trading activity begins, so factor in execution risk and potential wide spreads when entering or exiting positions.