| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.7623 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach a price target of $40.7623 within a 15-minute window. Short-duration, single-price-target markets matter because they test immediate liquidity, news impact, and trader reaction on very short time scales.
HYPE is being evaluated over an intraday, 15-minute interval rather than a daily or longer horizon, so microstructure factors (order-book depth, spread, and exchange-specific liquidity) are especially important. Markets like this are commonly used to measure the immediate effect of announcements, exchange flows, or concentrated trading interest; settlement will follow the measurement and feed specified on the KALSHI event page. Because the market closes are listed as TBD, traders should confirm the scheduled start/settlement window before participating.
Odds displayed on the market reflect real-time collective expectations and update as participants trade; they serve as a dynamic indicator of sentiment and available information rather than a deterministic prediction of outcome.
Resolution depends on whether the HYPE price, as measured by the reference source and time window specified in the event rules on KALSHI, reaches or exceeds $40.7623 during the stated 15-minute interval; consult the event page for the precise settlement definition and tie-breaking rules.
The event page and KALSHI’s official market description will state the scheduled start or the trigger that defines the 15-minute window; because the listing shows 'Closes: TBD', check the platform for updates and any announced start time before placing trades.
The market’s description on KALSHI lists the authoritative price feed or exchange used for settlement; always verify that feed on the event page since different feeds can show different intraday ticks and will affect whether the target is hit.
In a short 15-minute interval, a large market order or concentrated buying/selling can push the observed price past the target, so participants should be aware that transient, liquidity-driven moves — not only fundamental news — can determine resolution.
Look at recent intraday volatility, frequency of price spikes, and order-book dynamics for similar short windows to gauge how often HYPE moves by the magnitude required; remember that past intraday patterns are informative but not determinative for a single future 15-minute window.