| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.6454 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will hit the price target of $40.6454 during a specified 15-minute measurement window. Short-duration markets like this let traders express expectations about immediate price moves and test real-time liquidity and data feeds.
Crypto prices can move rapidly on news, exchange flows, listings, or large trades, so outcomes for very short windows often hinge on transient events and order-book depth. The event currently shows no traded volume and a closing time of TBD, so participants should confirm the market’s official start/close times and data sources before trading. Historical short-window contracts have been sensitive to oracle selection and timestamp resolution.
Market prices reflect the aggregate expectation that the specified price condition will be met during the 15-minute window; because the window is short, quoted prices can change quickly as new information or trades arrive.
The precise condition depends on the market’s resolution rules: typically the designated data source must record a price at or above $40.6454 at a timestamp that falls within the defined 15-minute window. Consult the contract’s resolution language to see whether intraminute ticks, last trade, or aggregated quotes are used.
Start and end times are set by the market creator and the platform; because this market lists as TBD, you should check the event page for the official window once announced and note the time zone and any platform-specific timestamp rules.
Settlement follows the data sources named on the event’s resolution rules—this may be a single exchange, an index, or an oracle aggregation. Always verify the listed source on the event page to understand which venue’s price determines outcome.
The platform’s cancellation and dispute policies govern such cases; common outcomes include voiding the market and refunding traders or using an alternative approved data source if the primary feed is unavailable. Review KALSHI’s resolution and dispute procedures for specifics.
Low liquidity makes prices easier to move with relatively small orders, and algorithmic traders can generate transient spikes that may meet the target for only a short time; because the window is brief, transient, exchange-specific moves and timestamp precision can decisively determine the outcome.