| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.5530 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto instrument labeled “HYPE” will meet a $40.5530 price target within a specific 15-minute measurement window. Short-duration, price-target markets like this matter because they let traders express views on immediate, high-frequency price moves and on the market microstructure around a precise moment.
The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume, indicating it is new or illiquid; resolution rules, data source and exact timing are set by the market listing on the platform. Short, minute-scale crypto targets sit at the intersection of rapid price volatility, order-book dynamics, and exchange-specific reporting; historical outcomes for these markets depend heavily on liquidity, exchange data quality, and sudden news or large trades.
Market odds reflect the evolving consensus about whether the listed resolution condition will occur during the 15-minute window — they move as participants trade on new information and supply/demand in the market. Because this is a very short time horizon, quoted prices often reflect expectations about immediate order-book and feed behavior rather than long-term fundamentals.
Resolution depends on the market’s listed condition: typically the target is met if the specified price (as defined by the market’s price source) is traded or recorded within the 15-minute measurement window. Check the market’s detailed rules for whether a trade print, quote, or an index value counts as the triggering data point.
The event page or market details on KALSHI will list the official start and end timestamps; this listing currently shows the close as TBD, so monitor the market page or platform notifications for the announced window before trading.
The market description should identify the authoritative exchange/ticker or index used for resolution. If the event page does not state the feed, consult the market’s rules on KALSHI or contact their support; resolution will follow that specified source.
Zero traded volume means no trades have yet occurred in this market, indicating limited liquidity and that posted prices may be thinly supported. Traders should be cautious about order size, execution risk, and potential wide spreads until volume builds.
Potential issues include erroneous exchange prints, delayed or missing data, wash trades or deliberate spoofing that move the reference price, and disagreements over time-synchronization. KALSHI’s resolution and dispute procedures (listed in the market rules) govern how such cases are adjudicated.