| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.4281 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset referenced as "HYPE" will reach the price target of $40.4281 within a 15-minute measurement window. It matters because it isolates ultra-short-term price action and shows how traders price immediate upside or downside pressure for that asset.
Short, fixed windows like 15 minutes are dominated by order-book dynamics, liquidity and high-frequency activity rather than longer-term fundamentals. Markets for small-cap or newly listed tokens can exhibit sharp moves from single large orders or coordinated social/news events; the settlement rules and the chosen price feed will determine exactly which trades count toward the outcome. Because this event is listed on KALSHI, consult the contract page for the official data source and settlement method.
Odds on this market represent the collective, continuously updating expectations of participants about whether the $40.4281 threshold will be met during the 15-minute window. They move as new trades and information enter the market and are not guarantees of outcome.
The contract resolves on whether the price of the asset labeled "HYPE" reaches the target of $40.4281 within the specified 15-minute measurement window. The event page and contract rules on KALSHI specify how that price is observed and which data feed or exchange is authoritative for settlement.
The start and end times are defined by the contract’s settlement rules on the event page; because the event currently lists "Closes: TBD," consult the KALSHI market details for the precise timestamp or trigger that will begin the 15-minute window.
The authoritative exchange or aggregated price feed is specified in the market’s settlement documentation on KALSHI. Always check that documentation before trading to know which publicly available price series will be used for resolution.
In a short window, a single large buy or sell can move the displayed price on the settlement feed (especially if order-book depth is thin), creating or removing a match of the target; market impact, slippage and temporary spreads are therefore major determinants of the outcome.
Verify the settlement feed and exact timing on the contract page, assess likely liquidity and whether market makers are active, monitor upcoming news or on-chain events that could move HYPE, and confirm fees and dispute/appeal procedures so you understand how a resolved outcome will be determined.