| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.3871 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach the specified price target of $40.3871 during a 15-minute measurement window; it matters because short-window price targets capture extreme intraday moves and inform high-frequency trading and event-driven strategies.
Short-duration, target-based crypto markets like this draw on real-time exchange liquidity, on-chain flows, and market microstructure rather than long-term fundamentals. The market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows Total Volume Traded: $0 and Closes: TBD, indicating it may be newly posted or awaiting a defined resolution time. Historical context: similar short-window contracts tend to be sensitive to listings, large market orders, and automated trading activity.
Market prices on KALSHI aggregate participants' expectations and available liquidity at any moment; when volume is low, quoted prices are driven by sparse orders and are less stable. Always consult the event's official rules for the precise resolution definition before trading.
The title indicates the outcome is evaluated over a consecutive 15-minute period; the event's official rules will state exactly when that window begins and how timestamps are aligned (for example, a fixed start time or triggered start). Check the contract details on KALSHI for the definitive timing.
The market's contract should specify the resolution method (for example, last traded price, mid-market, or an average); you must consult the event's resolution section on KALSHI to see which price definition is used for this target.
The event page lists the official data source or exchanges used for settlement; some contracts use a single exchange, others an aggregated feed. Refer to the event details on KALSHI to confirm the exact reference or oracle for this specific listing.
TBD means the final close or activation time hasn't been set or publicly posted yet; KALSHI will announce the schedule. Low initial volume typically implies wider spreads and higher price impact from individual orders, making early quotes less reliable until liquidity builds.
Such contingencies are addressed in the contract's force-majeure and settlement terms; common approaches include using an alternate reference feed, pausing settlement pending adjudication, or following a pre-specified fallback. Review the event's official rules and KALSHI announcements for the precise protocol applicable to this market.