| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.3481 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will interact with the $40.3481 price level within a specified 15‑minute window; it matters because very short time‑frame targets test high‑frequency dynamics and trader expectations about immediate volatility.
Short‑interval price targets like this sit at the intersection of high intraday volatility, order‑book depth, and automated trading activity. On platforms like KALSHI, such markets are used to trade beliefs about rapid moves rather than longer‑term fundamentals, and they are sensitive to exchange feed quality and timestamping. Historical episodes of sudden news, liquidity shifts, or coordinated trading can make 15‑minute outcomes frequently changeable.
Market prices on this contract aggregate traders’ views about the likelihood of the target being met during the 15‑minute window; interpret those prices as a snapshot of collective expectations and market risk appetite, and cross‑check with exchange rules and data sources that govern official resolution.
Resolution follows the market’s official rules and the designated price source: check the event page for the named data feed and the precise rule (for example, whether a touch, last trade, or mid‑price during the window determines outcome). The event page and KALSHI’s resolution policy are the authoritative references.
The start and end timestamps for the 15‑minute window will be published on this market’s detail page; if a start time is not yet set (Closes: TBD), monitor the market page for updates and any official notices from KALSHI about scheduling.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the market’s defined resolution criterion (e.g., any trade at or above the target versus a sustained quote). Consult the event’s rule text on KALSHI to see which price action (trade, quote, or averaged price) constitutes meeting the target.
The market detail will list the official exchange(s) or data provider(s). Some markets use a single exchange’s last trade, others use consolidated feeds or an index; verify the named source on the event page to know what price series governs settlement.
Useful tools include real‑time trade and quote feeds for the designated exchange(s), order‑book depth and imbalance monitors, high‑frequency news and social channels for sudden catalysts, alerts for large block trades or wallet movements (if on‑chain), and the market’s own updates on KALSHI about timing and resolution methodology.