| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.2916 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach the price target of $40.2916 within a specific 15-minute window; it matters because ultra-short windows test immediate liquidity and market reaction to news.
Short-duration target contracts like this focus on very short-term price action rather than longer-term fundamentals. These markets are sensitive to which exchange or price feed is used for settlement, the timing of the defined window, and the asset's intraday liquidity; the listing currently shows total volume of $0 and a closing time marked TBD, indicating a newly created or not-yet-scheduled window.
Market odds represent the collective, continuously updated market view of the probability that HYPE will hit the $40.2916 threshold during the 15-minute window; they move with new information, changes in liquidity, and trader activity and should be read as a real-time consensus signal rather than a deterministic prediction.
The contract's terms define a precise start and end timestamp for the 15-minute observation period; consult the market's event rules or updates on the KALSHI page to see the official window once it is scheduled.
The market settles against a specific reference price feed or exchange listed in the event terms; check the contract details for the designated data source because different feeds can show different prices at the same time.
A TBD closing time typically means the market is newly posted or awaiting scheduling; trading availability, settlement timing, and the exact observation window may be updated by KALSHI before the market becomes active.
Thin liquidity increases price impact of individual orders, meaning a single large trade could push HYPE through the threshold or leave it unchanged; this raises both execution risk and susceptibility to short-term price swings or manipulation.
Yes—any scheduled token unlocks, exchange listings/delistings, announcements, or partnership news timed near the observation window can materially affect HYPE's price during the 15-minute period and therefore the contract outcome.