| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.2480 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled HYPE will reach a price target of $40.2480 within a specified 15-minute observation window. Short-duration, single-price-target markets offer a way to trade or hedge very near-term price moves in a specific token.
Events that specify short observation windows and precise price targets are common in crypto prediction markets because crypto assets often show rapid intraday moves and spikes. The underlying dynamics include liquidity on the exchange(s) used for settlement, algorithmic and high-frequency trading activity, and any token-specific announcements that can drive abrupt price changes. Because this market closes TBD, the precise observation start and settlement rules will be posted by the exchange (Kalshi) before trading begins.
Market odds reflect the consensus view of participants about the likelihood of the target being met within the 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives or liquidity shifts. For exact settlement language, consult the Kalshi market description and rulebook for this contract.
A winning outcome is determined by whether the HYPE price meets the contract's defined criterion (for example, touching or exceeding $40.2480) during the specified 15-minute observation window as defined in the market's settlement rules. The official Kalshi market page and rule text specify the precise comparison operator and any tie or edge-case handling.
The start and end times of the observation window are set by Kalshi and will be published on the market page prior to trading or at market open; 'TBD' indicates that those timestamps have not yet been announced. Check the Kalshi market description and any platform notices for the finalized schedule before trading.
Kalshi specifies the official price source (a particular exchange, consolidated feed, or index) in the market's settlement terms. Traders should review the market rules to identify the exact feed and understand how that source reports trades and quotes during volatile periods.
The market's contingency and force-majeure clauses in Kalshi's rulebook govern such situations; possible outcomes include using the last reliable price, applying an alternate data source, delaying settlement, or canceling the market. Consult Kalshi's official resolution policy for full details relevant to this contract.
Look at recent intraday and minute-level volatility of HYPE, typical trading volume spikes, past occurrences of short-lived price spikes, any recurring patterns around announcements or liquidity events, and the presence of large limit or market orders in the order book that could propel price moves; these factors influence the short-term probability of reaching a precise target.