| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $40.1574 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This KALSHI market poses a short-duration question about whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will hit a $40.1574 price target within a 15-minute measurement window. It matters because ultra-short windows amplify the importance of intraday liquidity, latency, and microstructure for traders and speculators.
The market ties a fixed price target to a very brief timeframe; such contracts are common for speculating on or hedging against rapid price moves in crypto. Crypto prices can move rapidly due to thin liquidity, large single orders, exchange-specific prices, or on-chain events, so outcomes for 15-minute windows are often driven by micro-level order flow rather than macroeconomic fundamentals. Settlement mechanics (which exchange or feed, whether the target is inclusive/exclusive, and tie-breaking rules) depend on the specific event rules published by KALSHI.
Market odds and prices on KALSHI aggregate participant expectations and update in real time as new information arrives; they should be read as a continuously updating consensus view, not a guarantee of outcome.
It is the specific price level used to evaluate the outcome during the 15-minute window; the event’s detailed text on KALSHI will state whether reaching, exceeding, or matching that level is required for resolution.
The start and exact definition of the 15-minute window are determined by the event’s settlement rules on KALSHI—check the event page for whether the window begins at a scheduled timestamp, at market open, or is triggered by another condition.
A single-outcome listing often means the contract resolves to a single binary or numeric result based on the event question; consult the event resolution rules to see whether it pays out on a yes/no condition, a specific numeric value, or some other mechanism.
'Closes: TBD' means the official closing time hasn’t been published yet, so timing and entry/exit windows may be uncertain; 'Total Volume Traded: $0' indicates no trading activity so far, which typically signals low liquidity and potentially wide spreads—trade size and execution risk should be considered carefully.
The event’s settlement terms on KALSHI specify the official price source or exchange and any aggregation rules; always consult those terms for the authoritative data feed, tie-breaking rules, and rounding conventions used for resolution.