| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.9928 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will hit the $39.9928 price level within a defined 15-minute observation window. Short-interval targets matter because they capture immediate market sentiment and the likelihood of rapid price moves.
HYPE is traded in crypto markets that operate 24/7 and can experience large, fast swings from news, listings, or coordinated flows. Markets that resolve over minutes are particularly sensitive to liquidity, exchange-specific pricing, and the precise settlement rules used by the contract host (KALSHI). Because the market currently shows a TBD close, the timing of the observation window has not yet been scheduled.
Prediction market odds reflect the market’s real-time consensus about whether the specified condition will occur during the observation window; they update as new orders, news, and liquidity arrive. For a 15-minute target, odds can move rapidly and should be treated as a short-lived signal rather than a long-term forecast.
It means the contract resolves based on whether the HYPE reference price meets the $39.9928 threshold at some point during a specified 15-minute observation window. The market outcome depends on the settlement rules and the defined window once KALSHI sets the start time.
A start time has not been scheduled yet; KALSHI or the market publisher will announce the official start/close timestamps in the market metadata. Monitor the market page and official notices for the scheduled window before trading.
Settlement uses the specific exchange(s) or index named in the market details on KALSHI. Check the contract’s settlement specification to see the designated price feed, aggregation method, and timestamp conventions that determine the reference price.
Whether a brief tick counts depends on the contract’s resolution rules. Many minute-duration contracts count any observation within the window that meets the threshold, but some require a price at a particular timestamp or a sustained level—confirm the exact resolution criteria in the market rules.
Zero volume indicates no market liquidity so far, which typically means wide bid/ask spreads and larger price impact for any trades. Until there is active volume and a published start time, exercise caution: thin markets can produce noisy odds and are more vulnerable to manipulation or volatile fills.