| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.7035 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the underlying HYPE price will interact with a $39.7035 target during a specified 15-minute window. It matters because short, high-frequency contracts like this test rapid price dynamics and are sensitive to immediate market events.
Short-interval crypto contracts focus on intra-minute liquidity and volatility rather than long-term fundamentals. Their outcomes are often driven by event-driven flows—exchange listings, large trades, announcements—or by microstructure factors like order-book depth. Because settlement depends on a precise timestamp and data source, small timing differences can determine the result.
Prediction market prices reflect traders' aggregated views of whether the contract condition will be met; interpret them as a real-time indicator of market sentiment and information rather than a fixed forecast. Always cross-check the contract details for the exact resolution method and data source before trading.
It indicates the contract evaluates price behavior over a 15-minute interval defined by the contract; the precise start and end timestamps are set by Kalshi in the contract details and determine when price observations are taken.
The contract resolves based on the specific exchange(s) or aggregated price feed named in the event rules; check the event's resolution section to see the official data source and whether an average, snapshot, or other method is used.
This market's close is listed as TBD; Kalshi will update the event with a closing time and any changes—monitor the event page and platform notifications for the official close and any procedural announcements.
Some contracts are structured as a single conditional event that either meets the specified target during the window or does not; consult the contract wording to understand how payoff is defined and whether partial or binary settlement applies.
Likely drivers include a sudden exchange listing or delisting, major protocol or team announcements, coordinated large buy/sell orders, flash crashes or spikes due to thin liquidity, and broader crypto market moves triggered by macro news or exchange incidents.