| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.6934 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled "HYPE" will hit the $39.6934 price target within a specific 15-minute measurement window. It matters to traders who want to express views on very short‑term price moves and to participants hedging or arbitraging event-driven volatility.
Short‑duration, fixed‑price markets are common in crypto prediction trading because tokens can move rapidly on news, listings, or large orders. Markets like this rely on a defined settlement rule set (price source, snapshot vs. average), and their relevance is driven by how tightly the measurement and timing are specified. Because the window is only 15 minutes, outcomes often hinge on intraday liquidity and transient order flow rather than long‑term fundamentals.
Prediction market odds reflect the collective market expectation about whether the target will be met and can change quickly as new information or order flow arrives. Use odds as a dynamic signal alongside your own analysis of liquidity, news, and settlement rules.
It specifies a bet on whether the asset labeled HYPE will reach the price target of $39.6934 within a defined 15‑minute measurement period; the precise mechanics (e.g., whether it must trade at or above that price, or be an average) are governed by KALSHI's settlement rules for this market.
A close time and the market's measurement window will be published by the platform before the event starts; after the 15‑minute window ends, KALSHI will settle the market using the pre‑specified price feed and methodology described on the market page or in its documentation.
No—$0 indicates no trades have occurred yet; it does not change settlement rules. Low traded volume, however, can mean wider spreads and that individual orders have greater price impact once trading begins.
KALSHI uses a designated set of data sources for each market; consult the market's settlement specification to see whether a specific exchange, a composite index, or a particular oracle is the official price source.
Rapid price moves over 15 minutes are typically driven by sudden announcements (listings, major partnerships, protocol changes), large single trades or wallet movements, cascading stop orders, or abrupt shifts in broader crypto market sentiment.