| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.4808 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled "HYPE" will reach the price target of $39.4808 within a specific 15‑minute window. Short‑horizon markets like this matter because they isolate very short‑term price dynamics and liquidity effects rather than longer‑term fundamentals.
HYPE appears to be a crypto token or symbol; rapid intra‑day moves in crypto are driven by thin liquidity, exchange listings, social media, and algorithmic trading. Because the horizon is only 15 minutes, outcomes will be dominated by microstructure (order‑book depth, large market orders, and bots) and any immediate news or exchange events that occur right before or during the measurement window.
Market odds here represent the collective view of traders about whether the target will be hit during the 15‑minute window and will move as new information arrives. Interpret the market price as a real‑time, tradeable aggregation of beliefs and risk appetite rather than a definitive forecast.
The outcome is determined by whether the event’s specified price source records HYPE at or above (or equal to) the $39.4808 target within the predefined 15‑minute measurement window. The exact resolution definition (which venue/ticker and how equality is handled) is specified in the event rules on KALSHI’s platform.
The start and end times are set by the event’s settlement rules on KALSHI. Some short‑horizon markets begin at a published timestamp; others begin relative to a market event — check the event page for the official start time. Because this listing shows "Closes: TBD," monitor the platform for the finalized timeline.
KALSHI’s event description will state the exact price measure—common choices are the last trade price on a named exchange, a consolidated feed, or a mid‑price calculation. Always consult the event’s official resolution criteria to know which measure applies.
Resolution in such scenarios follows KALSHI’s contingency rules: they may use the last available price, extend or void the measurement window, or cancel and refund the market depending on the circumstances. The event’s rules or KALSHI’s terms will describe the applicable protocol.
Low initial volume implies limited liquidity and wider spreads; with the close time not yet set, key settlement details may still change. Traders should wait for the published settlement source and timeline, evaluate potential slippage for the short 15‑minute horizon, and manage exposure accordingly.