| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.4727 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach a price target of $39.4727 within a 15-minute measurement window; it matters because very short-duration price events highlight immediate liquidity, volatility, and trading pressure in the underlying market.
Fifteen-minute price-target markets are a form of high-frequency forecasting that capture transient moves rather than longer-term trends. Crypto markets are often highly volatile and sensitive to order-book depth, news, and algorithmic trading, so outcomes in short windows can differ sharply from broader market expectations. Historical short-window events resolve around discrete liquidity events such as large spot orders, exchange listings, or sudden news.
Prediction market prices reflect collective expectations about whether the specific condition (HYPE touching $39.4727 within the defined 15 minutes) will occur; treat them as a real-time consensus about a narrowly timed event, not a long-term valuation.
Resolution depends on the market's settlement rules: typically it requires an observed trade price at or above (or at or below, depending on wording) $39.4727 on the named reference data source within the official 15-minute window. Consult the market terms for the precise definition of a qualifying price.
The start and end timestamps are specified in the market details; this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', so the official 15-minute window and closure time will be posted on the event page or in the market terms once finalized.
KALSHI markets specify a reference exchange or data provider in the settlement terms for each event; check the market's description or settlement section to see the exact feed or exchange used to determine the resolving price.
Trading this prediction contract does not directly move the underlying token price; however, traders who also execute spot or derivative orders in HYPE's markets can influence the underlying price, and coordinated activity in the spot markets is the primary way the target could be hit.
A $0 volume reading and 'Closes: TBD' typically mean the market is newly listed or has not yet received trades, and the official resolution window/time has not been published. Volume and the closure timestamp can change as the market becomes active or the organizer sets the resolution schedule.