| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.3014 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will hit the price target of $39.3014 within a specified 15-minute measurement window; it matters because short-duration outcomes capture extreme intraday moves and liquidity events that can be important for traders and risk managers.
Short-window crypto prediction markets like this are designed to isolate very brief price behavior rather than longer-term fundamentals, so they are sensitive to order-book dynamics, market making, and news flow. The market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and no announced close time, so participants should expect that operational details and liquidity may change before final listing or settlement. Events of this type are often used to hedge automated strategies or to speculate on immediate reactions to announcements, listings, or coordinated trading activity.
Market prices reflect the collective, continuously updated view of market participants about whether the target will be reached within the 15‑minute window; interpret price movement as shifting expectations and market liquidity rather than as a guaranteed outcome.
It means the outcome is determined by price behavior observed over a contiguous 15‑minute interval defined by the market's resolution rules; consult the market's official resolution criteria on KALSHI to see how the start and end times or triggers are specified.
Settlement depends on the market's stated price reference (for example, last trade, exchange midprice, or an index feed) and the resolution rule; check the event page for the authoritative definition of how a hit is detected and recorded.
TBD indicates the platform has not finalized or published the close/settlement timestamp; participants should monitor the KALSHI event page for updates and be cautious about liquidity and the possibility that entry or exit windows could change.
Zero traded volume indicates no recorded transactions so far, which typically means low liquidity, wider spreads, and greater price impact for any trades; low-volume markets can still resolve cleanly but pose larger execution and slippage risks for participants.
Look at intraday volatility, frequency and magnitude of past short‑interval spikes or drops, how the asset reacted to similar announcements, and whether there are recurring patterns (time‑of‑day effects, liquidity troughs) that have produced fast moves in prior windows.