| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.2907 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the referenced crypto price level of $39.2907 will be reached during a specified 15-minute measurement window. It matters for traders and observers who want to take a time‑limited view on an intraday price move or hedge very short‑term exposure.
Minute-scale price-target markets are driven by high-frequency order flow, liquidity pockets, exchange spreads, and time‑sensitive news; they are different from multi‑day or long‑term forecasts. Historically, outcomes in these markets can flip quickly due to algorithmic trading, small liquidity pools, or a single large execution, so reading settlement rules and source price feeds is important.
Market odds reflect the collective view of participants based on available information, liquidity and risk preferences; they move as new trades and information arrive. Use odds as a real‑time signal of market sentiment while confirming settlement mechanics and price sources on the event page.
Settlement depends on whether the market's defined price source registers the stated target during the event's specified 15‑minute measurement period; check the official event rules to see if the condition is 'greater than', 'greater than or equal to', or otherwise defined.
The market's event description on the exchange (Kalshi) lists the exact reference exchange(s) or aggregated feed used for settlement; consult that section of the event page for the authoritative source.
The start and end of the 15‑minute window are specified in the event's settlement rules; if the close is TBD, the platform will announce the timing—monitor the event page or official communications for the exact UTC times or trigger conditions.
Low or zero trading volume indicates limited liquidity, which can lead to wide spreads and greater price impact from individual trades; treat thinly traded short‑window markets as higher execution and slippage risk.
Because the window is short, single large executions or intense bot activity can materially affect the observed price; most venues publish surveillance and anti‑manipulation policies and rely on aggregated feeds, but review the platform's market rules and dispute/appeal procedures for specifics.