| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.2791 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market concerns whether the HYPE token's price will meet the $39.2791 target within a 15-minute observation window on KALSHI. It matters because very short windows magnify the influence of liquidity, exchange data sources, and immediate news on outcome resolution.
Short-duration crypto contracts like this let traders express views on intraday or intraminute price action rather than multi-day trends. HYPE, as a crypto asset, can experience rapid moves driven by low liquidity and concentrated orders; platforms such as KALSHI create timebound binary-style questions tied to a specific price level. Note that this particular market lists no traded volume and has a TBD close, indicating it is newly posted or not yet active.
Market odds on KALSHI aggregate participant expectations and available public information at any moment; they are dynamic and update as new orders arrive. Use them as a real-time signal of market sentiment but combine with liquidity and contract-rule checks before trading.
Resolution depends on KALSHI's contract terms: typically it means the HYPE reference price reaches or exceeds (or otherwise matches) $39.2791 within the specified 15-minute observation window. Check the market's official rules for whether the test is 'at or above', 'exact', or uses an averaged price.
KALSHI sets the exact observation start and close times in the market details; 'TBD' means the publisher or exchange has not finalized scheduling. Monitor the market page and official market documentation for a timestamped observation window and resolution schedule.
The specific price source should be listed in the market's resolution rules on the KALSHI contract page. If not explicitly stated there, consult KALSHI's published market methodology or contact their support—resolution can depend on a named exchange, an index, or a KALSHI-defined reference.
Examine historical 15-minute moves and liquidity around similar times to estimate how often the token moves by magnitudes near the target within equivalent windows. High past intraminute volatility suggests greater chance of hitting short-duration targets, but also higher execution risk and slippage.
Zero traded volume indicates no liquidity so far; that can mean wide bid-ask spreads, difficulty entering or exiting positions, and limited price discovery. 'Number of outcomes: 1' suggests a single-condition market (often a binary or single-event contract), so check payout mechanics and be prepared for low-liquidity execution risk.