| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.1704 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will hit the price target $39.1704 during a specified 15‑minute monitoring window. Short, time‑bounded markets matter because they isolate immediate liquidity and news-driven moves that longer horizons can obscure.
Time‑bucketed crypto markets like this are designed to capture very short‑term price dynamics and are sensitive to microstructure (order book depth, exchange prints) as well as sudden informational shocks. HYPE, as a token or asset subject to speculative interest, can experience rapid swings from concentrated orders, exchange listings/delistings, social media events, or coordinated trading. Because the market closes and settles around a narrow window, even small execution details and data source choices can determine the outcome.
Market odds on a platform reflect the collective stance of traders about whether the target will be met in that specific 15‑minute window; they update as participants incorporate new information about price action, liquidity, and news. For very short windows, odds tend to move quickly and can reflect transient order‑flow and execution risk as much as fundamental views.
It denotes a continuous 15‑minute interval during which the HYPE price is monitored to determine whether it reaches $39.1704; the market listing on KALSHI will specify the exact start timestamp used for that interval.
The authoritative definition and data feed (for example, a specific exchange's trade prints, an index, or an aggregated feed) are set in the market's settlement rules on KALSHI; those rules determine whether a given print or quote counts as meeting the target.
Boundary handling (inclusive or exclusive of the exact start/end timestamp) is determined by the market's settlement protocol; the official contract language on the platform explains how ties at window edges are resolved.
'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not yet published the scheduled monitoring period; once KALSHI sets the start/close times, the market will monitor the specified 15‑minute interval and then follow its published verification/settlement timeline.
Rapid large buy/sell executions near the target, sudden liquidity withdrawals or influx, exchange technical incidents, or time‑sensitive news (listings, announcements, endorsements) immediately before or during the window are the types of events most likely to swing a 15‑minute outcome.