| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.0728 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto instrument labeled 'HYPE' will reach the price target $39.0728 within a 15-minute window. Short-duration markets like this matter because they isolate immediate liquidity, order-flow, and microstructure risks that can drive rapid price moves.
Fifteen‑minute targeting is a very different exercise than multi‑day or multi‑month forecasting: outcomes are dominated by on‑exchange trades, high‑frequency activity, and any real‑time announcements. Crypto markets can exhibit extreme short-term volatility and are sensitive to which exchange or price feed is used for settlement, so small timing or feed differences can change results.
Prediction market prices aggregate trader expectations and available real‑time information; for a 15‑minute event they primarily reflect immediate order flow, available liquidity, and any news or exchange events rather than long‑term fundamentals.
Resolution is determined by the contract terms on KALSHI: those terms specify the official price source (exchange or consolidated feed), the exact resolution timestamp, and whether a transient touch counts. Consult the event's rule page on KALSHI for the authoritative resolution mechanics.
The event details on KALSHI define the start and end times. If the event currently shows 'TBD', KALSHI will publish the official window before trading or in the contract; check the event page for the precise UTC times and any start conditions.
That depends on the contract's touch/observation rule. Some contracts resolve on any trade or quote that reaches the target during the window, while others require the price to be at or above the target at a specified moment. Verify the exact resolution rule in the event terms on KALSHI.
Large market orders, algorithmic trading, and liquidity provision or withdrawal can create rapid price moves in short windows. Because the timeframe is small, coordinated activity or a single large trade can be decisive — making these markets sensitive to microstructure and order-flow behavior.
KALSHI publishes settlement details and any adjudication notes on the event page and through its support channels. If there is ambiguity due to feed discrepancies or exchange outages, follow KALSHI's dispute and settlement policies as described in the platform's documentation and contact their support for official guidance.