| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.0585 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will interact with a $39.0585 price target within a specified 15-minute window; short-duration markets matter because they capture immediate liquidity, sentiment, and microstructure effects that longer-dated markets do not.
Short, target-driven crypto markets are used to trade expectations about very near-term price moves; they are sensitive to exchange order-book dynamics, oracle definitions, and rapid information flow from social and market participants. The market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and an open close time, so participants should consult the market rules for the precise start/stop definitions and settlement method.
Prediction market prices are an aggregation of participant beliefs and available information at each moment; in a short, single-target market like this one, prices can move quickly as liquidity, news, or large orders change the balance of buy and sell interest.
The '15 min' label indicates the duration over which the contract evaluates whether the price condition occurs; the contract's detailed rules (on the KALSHI listing) will specify the exact start and end timestamps used for that window and whether it is a rolling or fixed interval.
Settlement depends on the market’s rulebook: it may use the last trade price, a specific exchange index, the mid-price at a timestamp, or an oracle feed. You must read the contract terms on KALSHI to know which price source and precise measurement rule apply.
'Closes: TBD' means the market has not had a published closing time at listing; KALSHI will post the official close or start times per the contract. Traders should monitor the listing for updates and avoid relying on informal timings.
The market listing specifies the authoritative price feed (an exchange, index, or oracle). That data source, and any rules for handling outages or divergence, determines the settlement price—check the contract text to identify those providers.
Low initial volume suggests thin liquidity and potential for wide execution slippage or price manipulation; with a single-target structure, clarify settlement mechanics, confirm the price feed, assess order-book depth on the referenced exchanges, and use position sizing consistent with the elevated execution risk.