| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.0028 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will trade at or above $39.0028 during a contiguous 15‑minute measurement window; it matters because short, time‑limited targets emphasize intraday liquidity and order‑flow risk.
Crypto prices can move rapidly on news, large orders, or thin order books; markets that resolve on a 15‑minute window are therefore especially sensitive to brief spikes or dips. Similar short‑duration contracts on crypto assets have historically been resolved using specific exchange or consolidated price feeds and are prone to exchange latency and anomalous trades.
Prediction market prices for this contract represent the collective market view about whether the price condition will be met during the defined 15‑minute period; interpret those prices as a real‑time consensus signal, not a guarantee of outcome.
The market will resolve in accordance with the contract's resolution language: typically that HYPE's official price from the designated data source is at or above $39.0028 at some point (or averaged per contract terms) within the defined 15‑minute measurement window. Consult the market page on KALSHI for the precise resolution clause.
The start time or trigger for the 15‑minute window is specified in the contract details on KALSHI; because the event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', check the market description or contract terms on the platform for the official start, timezone, and any trigger conditions.
KALSHI will list the designated price source in the contract terms—this could be a specific exchange, a set of exchanges, or a consolidated feed. Always verify the named source on the market page before trading, since the choice of feed materially affects short‑window markets.
Yes. Single large trades, timestamp errors, or exchange outages can affect whether the target is hit during a 15‑minute window. KALSHI's dispute and resolution policies describe how they handle anomalous or erroneous data; review those policies to understand potential remedies.
Participants with outsized influence include large token holders executing market orders, high‑frequency trading firms and liquidity providers, and retail clusters reacting to breaking news—all can move price quickly in a 15‑minute span.