| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $39.0023 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled HYPE will hit the price target $39.0023 within a 15-minute measurement window. Short-interval targets matter because they capture high-frequency market sentiment and immediate liquidity events.
Short-duration price-target markets focus on minute-scale movements driven by order flow, liquidity, and news rather than fundamental shifts. For low- or mid-cap crypto assets, thin order books and algorithmic traders can cause rapid moves; for larger cap assets the same window is more likely to be affected by macro news or large block trades. The event page lists KALSHI as the resolution source and currently shows the market closing time as TBD.
Market prices reflect the crowd’s real-time assessment of whether the target will be met within the stated window; changes in price incorporate new information, trading interest, and perceived risk. Use the market price as an information signal, but verify the contract’s resolution rules before trading or using the outcome.
The contract resolves based on whether the official reference price reaches the specified target within the defined 15-minute observation window; the precise definition of 'reach' (e.g., greater than or equal to, which exchanges, and time-averaging rules) is determined by the contract’s resolution rules provided by KALSHI.
Start and end times for the 15-minute window are specified by the market’s timeline on the platform; this event currently shows the market close as TBD, so consult the event page or contract terms for the definitive timestamp once it is posted.
The event’s Source field lists KALSHI as the official arbiter; the contract’s resolution documentation or platform rules will list which exchanges, aggregated feeds, or time-weighted methods are used — check those documents for the exact feeds and priority rules.
Look at recent intraday volatility, typical minute-by-minute traded volume, and any past instances of rapid spikes or flash crashes near the $39 level; thin liquidity or clustered limit orders near that price make short-term hits more likely even without new news.
Primary movers in a short window include high-frequency and algorithmic traders, market makers, large holders executing block trades, and forced liquidations on derivatives platforms; exchange outages or changes to listed liquidity providers can also produce abrupt moves.