| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.9814 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will meet the $38.9814 price target within a 15-minute window; it matters because 15-minute intraday targets test short-term liquidity, news sensitivity, and price-feed behavior for that asset.
The market is hosted on KALSHI and references a very short time horizon (15 minutes) tied to a precise price level. Short-window crypto markets are historically driven by exchange liquidity, order-book depth, and time-sensitive news or large trades, so outcomes can diverge quickly from wider overnight trends. Because the market closes are listed as TBD, timing and the official settlement window will be set in the market rules before resolution.
Odds on this market reflect traders' aggregated expectations about whether HYPE will reach the specified $38.9814 level during the defined 15-minute period; expect those odds to change rapidly with new order flow, exchange quotes, or news affecting HYPE.
Settlement criteria are defined in the market rules; generally it will be whether the official price reference reaches or exceeds $38.9814 during the specified 15-minute window as observed by the market's designated price source—consult the event's resolution rules for the precise wording.
The market lists the close time as TBD; the exact start and end times of the 15-minute window and the market close will be posted on the market page and in the official rules prior to settlement—monitor the market page for updates.
KALSHI specifies the official price source in the market's resolution details—this may be an exchange ticker, an aggregated feed, or an oracle; check the market documentation to see which feed will be used for settlement.
Zero volume means no current market-implied information and likely low liquidity; while settlement still depends on the official price feed, low pre-event activity can lead to wider spreads, abrupt price moves, and higher susceptibility to order-driven swings in the minutes before or during the window.
Common drivers include exchange listings or delistings, token-specific announcements, large block trades or whale activity, sudden shifts in correlated crypto assets, and social-media-fueled spikes; microstructure factors like thin order books and latency can also produce rapid moves within 15 minutes.