| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.9797 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the reference asset will reach the $38.9797 target during a specified 15-minute window; it matters because short intraday moves can reflect sudden shifts in sentiment or liquidity for that asset. The outcome can inform short-term traders about immediate market drivers and risk around that price level.
The market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows zero volume traded, which means no participants have yet committed funds to express a view. Markets of this structure are commonly used for very short-lived, high-frequency events tied to an asset price over a fixed window; resolution depends on a quoted exchange/data source and precise timestamps. Close time is listed as TBD, so the official start and resolution window should be checked on the market page once set.
Odds in this type of market represent the collective view of participants about the chance of the asset hitting the stated price within the 15-minute window; with little or no trading, quoted odds can be unstable and change quickly as new orders arrive or news hits.
Resolution depends on whether the market's specified reference price meets the $38.9797 threshold within the defined 15-minute window, using the data source and timestamp rules outlined by KALSHI on the market page.
The start and end times for the 15-minute window are set by the market's official timestamps on KALSHI; because Close is currently TBD, you should monitor the market page for the announced start time and any updates.
KALSHI specifies the authoritative exchange or price aggregator in the market's resolution rules; consult the market details for the exact feed and any tie-breaking methods used in case of conflicting data.
Zero volume indicates no one has placed a trade yet, so the market has no revealed consensus; quoted prices (if any) may reflect initial offers rather than aggregated conviction and liquidity is likely to be thin.
Possible causes include data-feed outages, exchange maintenance or halts, discrepancies in timestamps between sources, or later trade corrections; KALSHI's dispute and resolution procedures described on the market page govern how such cases are handled.