| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.8975 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the asset labeled "HYPE" will reach the specified $38.8975 price target within a 15-minute measurement window; it matters because short, time-bound targets compress market dynamics and spotlight intraday volatility and liquidity. Traders use such markets to express views on immediate price moves and to hedge or speculate around short-term catalysts.
The listing is on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and a single outcome; the market’s precise start/settlement mechanics are defined on the event page and may be updated before the window opens. Short-duration targets like this are sensitive to exchange feeds, trade reporting rules, and minute-by-minute order flow rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds aggregate participant expectations about whether the target will be met during the 15-minute window; treat them as a real-time sentiment indicator that can change rapidly as new information or trades arrive.
Settlement depends on the price definition specified in the event terms on KALSHI—commonly a trade print or official feed value during the window; check the event's settlement rules to know which price series and timestamp determine a "hit."
A start time is set by the event organizer and posted on the KALSHI event page; until the start is announced the market will remain open for information and may be updated—monitor the event page for the official start timestamp and timezone.
The event's rules specify the authoritative data source for settlement; if multiple exchanges differ, settlement follows that predefined feed or a specified aggregation method—review the settlement/data-source clause on the event page.
Immediate drivers include large market orders or liquidations, exchange order-book imbalances, last-minute news or social signals, and any scheduled protocol or listing events tied to HYPE.
Low on-market volume implies thin liquidity and wider effective spreads, increasing execution risk and making the market more sensitive to individual trades; traders should account for price impact and confirm settlement definitions before taking large positions.