| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.8909 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will satisfy a $38.8909 price target within a 15-minute interval; traders use it to express expectations about very short-term price movement. Short-duration contracts like this matter because they isolate microstructure events and immediate news impacts that longer-term markets dilute.
Ultra-short contracts are common in crypto prediction venues and reflect order-flow dynamics, exchange latency, and momentary liquidity rather than fundamental valuation. Because the window is only 15 minutes, outcomes are often driven by single trades, exchange order-book events, and sudden news or listings. The platform (KALSHI) will follow its published resolution rules and any designated reference price sources when determining the result.
Market odds on this contract represent the trading market's collective expectation about whether the specified price condition will be met in the stated 15-minute window and incorporate available information, risk appetite, and liquidity. Treat odds as a real-time consensus signal, not a guarantee; rapid changes in information or liquidity can shift them quickly.
It means the contract evaluates whether the price condition is met within a specific 15-minute interval as defined by the market listing; the exact start and end times or triggering rules are provided on the market page and in the contract terms.
Resolution will follow the contract's definition on KALSHI, which typically specifies the price source and whether the metric is last trade, mid-price, or an index value during the window; check the market's resolution specification for the authoritative method.
A 'TBD' close means the platform has not yet published the final resolution time; KALSHI will update the market page and announcements with the official close/start times prior to resolution.
The contract's resolution rules list the authoritative data feeds or index methodology; if discrepancies arise, KALSHI's documented procedures and any dispute resolution process govern which source is used.
Low volume means single large orders or thin liquidity can produce outsized price moves, making the contract outcome sensitive to isolated trades and increasing short-term unpredictability compared with high-liquidity conditions.