| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.8134 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled 'HYPE' will hit a price target of $38.8134 within a specified 15-minute measurement window. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they concentrate on immediate liquidity, volatility, and microstructure events rather than long-term fundamentals.
The event is a very short-term price-target market listed on KALSHI; the 15-minute horizon makes it sensitive to order flow, exchange-level liquidity, and rapid news or social-media-driven moves. 'Closes: TBD' means the exact start time for the 15-minute window has not been published yet; once announced, settlement will follow the platform's published reference-price rules. Total Volume Traded currently shows $0, indicating no contracts have been bought or sold on this market so far.
Market prices on this platform aggregate traders' views about whether the target will be met in that window; interpret quoted market prices as the current tradeable consensus rather than a fixed forecast, and always consult the event's settlement rules for the precise definition of a successful outcome.
It resolves on whether HYPE reaches (or exceeds) the specified $38.8134 price within the designated 15-minute measurement window; the event page and settlement rules define the precise reach threshold and data source used for settlement.
The start time is not yet posted (Closes: TBD). KALSHI will publish the official start time on the event page; traders should monitor that page or platform notifications for the announced window.
Settlement uses the reference-price methodology specified in the event's rules — typically a designated exchange feed or aggregation — so consult the event's settlement details on KALSHI to see whether last trade, best bid/ask, or an index is used.
Zero traded volume indicates no liquidity has manifested yet; with only one outcome listed and low initial volume, early orders may face wide spreads and price sensitivity, so consider order size, slippage, and liquidity risk before trading.
Examine minute-level historical price series for prior 15-minute spikes, recent volatility measures, order-book depth on primary exchanges where HYPE trades, recent news or listing events, and on-chain/token-holder concentration to gauge how easily price could move within a short window.