| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.7699 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the reference price for HYPE will meet a $38.7699 target within a 15-minute measurement period. It matters because very short-duration price targets highlight immediate liquidity, order-flow dynamics, and trader expectations for near-instant moves.
Crypto prices can move rapidly over minutes due to low liquidity, concentrated order books, algorithmic trading, or breaking news; markets like this capture those ultra-short-term dynamics. The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume and an unspecified close time, so platform-defined start, data source, and settlement rules determine how the outcome will be measured. Traders should review the event page for the authoritative resolution language and any trigger timestamps.
Market prices reflect current trader sentiment about the event condition occurring during the measurement window, but they are influenced by liquidity and active orders as much as by information. In low-volume, short-window markets, quoted prices can move quickly and may not reflect a broad consensus until trading activity increases.
Resolution depends on whether the event’s official reference price meets the target level during the defined 15-minute measurement period; consult the event page for the precise resolution language (for example, whether the condition is '>=', '>' or requires a sustained print) and any tie-breaker rules.
The start time is specified by KALSHI in the event details or rules; if 'Closes: TBD' is shown, the platform has not yet published the exact trigger timestamp—watch the event page, platform notifications, or the issuer’s announcements for the official start time and timezone.
The event’s official rules include the authoritative price feed or exchange used for settlement; check the event data-source section on KALSHI’s page or contact support if the source is not yet listed.
It indicates a single settlement metric is used for the event; read the event description to confirm whether that metric is presented as a binary condition around the target or as a scalar payout tied to where the price lands relative to $38.7699.
Zero volume means no trades have occurred yet; expect low liquidity, potentially wide bid-ask spreads, and higher execution risk—small orders may move price significantly until more trading activity builds.