| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.7681 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset referenced as HYPE will meet a specified price target of $38.7681 within a 15-minute observation window. Short-duration price-target markets matter because they isolate high-frequency drivers of price action and let traders express short-term expectations.
Short, time-bound crypto contracts like this are built to capture rapid moves driven by liquidity flows, news, or automated trading rather than longer-term fundamentals. Historically, very short windows (minutes) are dominated by microstructure effects: order-book depth, high-frequency trading, and exchange-specific anomalies. Because the market source is KALSHI, settlement and resolution will follow the platform's stated data and timing rules for the event.
Odds in this context reflect the market-implied consensus about whether the price condition will be met during the specified 15-minute window, given available information and trading activity. They are a snapshot of participant beliefs and liquidity, and can change quickly as new information or order flow arrives.
A winning outcome is defined by the event's settlement rules on KALSHI: typically whether the reference price for HYPE reaches or exceeds (or fails to reach) the specified numeric target during the defined 15-minute observation window. Consult the event's official resolution text for the precise comparison operator and any rounding rules.
The start and end of the 15-minute window are determined by the event details published on the KALSHI page for this market; it may be tied to a specific timestamp or to a market trigger described in the event terms. Because this market's close is listed as TBD, check the event page for the finalized timing before trading.
Settlement uses the data feed(s) specified in the event's official terms on KALSHI. That can be a single exchange price, an index, or an aggregated feed; the event page will list the authoritative source and any tie-breaking or fallback procedures.
Because the window is only 15 minutes, brief spikes or erroneous trades can determine the result if they are included in the official price feed. KALSHI's resolution rules may address outliers or require quotes from specified venues, so review those rules to understand how atypical prints are handled.
Immediate catalysts include large limit or market orders, exchange listing announcements or delistings, coordinated social-media-driven buying, scheduled token events, and sudden macro crypto market moves; any event that materially alters order flow or liquidity within the 15-minute window can flip the outcome.