| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.5824 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled "HYPE" will reach the price target $38.5824 within a specified 15-minute window; minute-scale target markets matter because they isolate ultra-short-term volatility and execution risk. Traders use these markets to express views on immediate order flow, bot activity, or specific timed events.
Minute-scale crypto target markets are driven primarily by liquidity, exchange microstructure, and any scheduled announcements or large orders that can move price quickly. HYPE’s ability to hit the target will depend on its listed liquidity across venues, the presence of algorithmic traders, and any concurrent market news or on-chain events; the market listing shows total volume traded as $0 and the market close is currently TBD, so timing details and early liquidity are limited. Because settlement rules and the specific price feed matter for short windows, consult the event page for official data-source and settlement definitions.
Prediction market prices for this contract reflect the collective trading interest and thus the market’s implied belief that the target will be met within the 15-minute window; because the outcome depends on narrow timing and the chosen settlement price source, interpretation should account for liquidity and feed-specific definitions. Use prices alongside knowledge of execution mechanics — they are signals of trader expectations, not guarantees.
Settlement uses the specific price feed or exchange(s) named in the event’s official rules on the KALSHI page; if the feed or aggregator is not visible on the summary, open the market’s settlement specification on KALSHI to see the exact data source and any tie-breaking procedures.
The 15-minute window refers to the interval defined by the event’s settlement rules; it may be a fixed, pre-announced 15-minute interval (e.g., 12:00–12:15 UTC) or any rolling 15-minute span as specified. Check the event description for the precise timing convention and whether the window start is posted in advance.
Whether a price touch counts depends on the contract’s settlement definition: some markets require an exchange-reported trade at or above the target, others accept a last-trade, best bid/ask cross, or an oracle midpoint. Review the settlement criteria on the market page to see which measurement KALSHI will use.
The listing shows the close as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official lock/close time prior to the event and will typically publish settlement shortly after the 15-minute window ends and the data provider confirms the result. Check the market page for updates and the platform’s timeline for final settlement postings.
Most platform rules include procedures for feed failures, outages, or anomalous data — outcomes may be delayed, use an alternate data source, or be voided per KALSHI’s dispute/resolution policy. Traders should consult the market’s official dispute and remediation rules to understand contest windows and how KALSHI resolves exceptional events.