| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.5040 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the cryptocurrency HYPE will reach the $38.5040 price target within a 15-minute measurement window. Short-duration price targets matter because they capture extreme intraday volatility and test execution and timing risk for traders.
Fifteen-minute binary-style markets are commonly used to price very short-term moves in crypto assets and to let traders express views on immediate volatility or event-driven spikes. HYPE as an asset may exhibit rapid moves driven by low liquidity, news, or coordinated trading; markets like this are resolved against a specific price feed and measurement interval specified by the contract. The market currently shows no traded volume, so active price discovery may still be absent.
Market prices (odds) on this event represent participants' aggregated expectations about whether HYPE will hit the stated target during the stated 15-minute window. In short time frames, those prices can shift quickly with new information, liquidity changes, or outsize orders.
Resolution is determined by the contract's settlement language: whether the HYPE price as reported by the specified data source reaches the $38.5040 threshold within the defined 15-minute measurement window. Always consult the event's detailed description and KALSHI's resolution rules to confirm the precise price source and condition (e.g., greater-than, greater-than-or-equal-to).
The start and end times for the 15-minute window are set in the event metadata on the market page; if the market page shows 'TBD' or no explicit start, check the contract details or KALSHI's announcement for the authoritative timestamp. The measured window, not your trade time, is what determines resolution.
The specific exchange or approved price feed used for settlement should be listed in the market's rule text on the event page. If the market description omits this, refer to KALSHI's general settlement policies or contact support before trading, because different feeds can show materially different prices over short windows.
Zero volume means no matched trades have occurred yet, so there is no market price discovery from traders; quoted bid/ask spreads (if present) may be wide or theoretical, and entering or exiting positions could face high slippage—treat early liquidity as limited until trading picks up.
Yes—orders placed during the measurement window directly affect the underlying price and therefore the contract outcome. Short windows with low liquidity are more susceptible to outsized orders or coordinated activity that can move price, so factor in execution risk and potential market impact when assessing or participating in this market.