| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.4913 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will reach the price target of $38.4913 within a 15-minute interval. Short-duration target markets like this matter because they let traders take positions on rapid intraday moves and liquidity-driven price action.
These very short time-horizon markets are driven by immediate order flow, liquidity, and news; they can resolve quickly and be highly sensitive to execution timing. The contract lists a 15-minute window and a $38.4913 price target; the market currently shows $0 volume traded and the official close/start time is listed as TBD, so settlement specifics and trading availability may change before the event begins.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of participants about whether the target will be hit in the 15-minute window and will update as new information, trades, or liquidity arrive. Treat quoted odds as a live consensus, not a static forecast.
It settles on whether the HYPE reference price meets the contract’s $38.4913 target during the specified 15-minute interval. The contract text on the market page defines the precise settlement condition (e.g., whether equality or exceedance counts) and is the authoritative source.
The start time and precise definition of the 15-minute window are specified on the market’s detail page; because the event currently lists its close/start as TBD, you must check the live contract for the official timestamp, timezone, and whether the window is fixed or rolling.
The market’s settlement documentation names the reference data provider or exchange used for the official price. Always confirm the listed feed on the Kalshi market page before trading, since different feeds can produce different timestamps and prices.
Low current volume indicates the market is thin right now; that can mean wider spreads, higher slippage, and greater sensitivity to individual trades. Volume itself does not change the settlement rule, but low liquidity affects execution risk and how prices move toward the target.
Contingency procedures—such as using alternate data sources, time extensions, or specific adjudication rules—are laid out in the contract’s settlement terms. Review the market’s settlement policy on the platform to see the exact fallback rules for this event.