| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.4783 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the underlying crypto referenced by the HYPE 15 min · $38.4783 target will reach the specified price level within a single 15-minute observation window. It matters because it captures short-term market expectations and can be used to hedge or speculate around rapid price moves.
Short-duration crypto markets like this are driven by high-frequency flows, liquidity concentration, and sudden news; they emphasize execution and timing more than longer-term fundamentals. The listing shows zero volume so far, indicating it is newly posted or has not yet attracted traders; settlement mechanics and the official price source will determine how outcomes are decided.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregate view of participants about the likelihood of that price being hit during the 15-minute window and update as new information arrives; treat them as a realtime, market-implied signal rather than a guaranteed prediction.
It means the event outcome depends on whether the referenced asset reaches the target price at any time during a single 15-minute observation period; the market will use that defined window to evaluate whether the condition was met.
The market's rulebook on the KALSHI event page specifies the official price source and any tie-breaking procedures; consult the contract terms for the precise exchange, index, or composite feed that will be used for settlement.
The event currently shows a closing time as TBD; KALSHI or the market creator will publish the exact closing time and the scheduled 15-minute observation window—check the event page and official notices for updates prior to trading.
Triggers include sudden public announcements, exchange listings or delistings, large market orders or liquidations, coordinated trading activity, or flash liquidity events; any rapid change that materially moves the market within the short window can produce the result.
Account for thin liquidity and high volatility by monitoring the order book, using appropriate order types, sizing positions conservatively, and confirming the market's settlement definitions and price sources to understand how recorded prices translate into outcomes.