| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.4650 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach the price target $38.4650 during a specified 15‑minute observation window; it matters because short, time‑boxed targets isolate immediate liquidity and volatility dynamics.
Short-duration crypto markets like this capture rapid price moves driven by microstructure (order book depth, block trades) and sudden news or social signals rather than long‑term fundamentals. HYPE’s historical volatility, exchange listings, and typical trading volume will shape how likely rapid moves are, while platform settlement rules determine exactly how those moves are measured. Because the market closes are listed as TBD, participants should watch the event page for the official timing and settlement details.
Market odds on the platform aggregate traders’ views about the chance of the target being hit and embed information about liquidity, risk, and timing; consult the live market price on KALSHI to see how the market is pricing those expectations.
The event resolves according to the market’s published settlement criteria on KALSHI; typically that will state whether the price must reach or exceed $38.4650 at any time during the 15‑minute window or meet a different condition—check the contract’s resolution clause on the event page for the precise rule.
The start time is the timestamp shown on the market’s event page and the window runs for 15 consecutive minutes from that start; because the page currently shows 'Closes: TBD', the exact start time will be published there—use the platform’s official time for reference.
KALSHI specifies the official price feed or exchange in the market’s settlement details; locate the 'Settlement Details' or contract terms on the event page to see the authoritative source used for resolving this market.
Whether a brief touch qualifies depends on the market’s resolution wording (for example, 'at any time during the window' versus 'closing price at end of window'); consult the specific resolution language on KALSHI to know which condition applies.
Likely drivers include large market orders from whales, sudden exchange listings or delistings, impactful announcements or viral social posts, low on‑chain or on‑exchange liquidity that magnifies trades, and fast algorithmic or arbitrage trading reacting to price discrepancies.