| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.4265 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset 'HYPE' will hit the price target $38.4265 within a 15-minute observation window. Short-interval target markets matter because they focus on high-frequency price moves and can reflect immediate market sentiment and liquidity conditions.
Short-duration price-target markets are commonly used around expected high-volatility moments — for example, token listings, large order execution, or major news releases that can move price quickly. The underlying crypto market is typically more volatile and less liquid than traditional markets, so minute-scale targets can be reached or missed by orderbook dynamics, exchange-specific fills, or transient price spikes. Because this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD' and zero volume, final timing and participant interest may change before the market is activated.
Odds on this market represent how traders are pricing the chance that the specified condition occurs during the designated 15-minute window; they update in real time as new information and trades arrive. Treat odds as a real-time consensus signal influenced by liquidity, not as a guaranteed prediction.
Resolution requires that the event's settlement rules identify HYPE's reference price meeting the condition (reaching or exceeding $38.4265) at any point during the specified 15-minute observation window. The precise tie-breakers and minute-level requirements are defined in KALSHI's event rules, so consult the event details for the authoritative resolution criteria.
The start and end timestamps for the 15-minute window will be posted by KALSHI on the event page; because this market currently lists 'Closes: TBD', that timing has not been finalized and you should check the event details or KALSHI notices for the official schedule.
KALSHI specifies the reference feed or exchange(s) used for settlement on the event page. That might be a single exchange, a composite index, or a particular tick feed. Differences between feeds matter — check the event’s stated price source before trading.
'Total Volume Traded: $0' indicates no trades have occurred yet, which can imply low liquidity and wider spreads; 'Number of outcomes: 1' means this is a single-condition contract that will resolve on occurrence vs. non-occurrence according to the event rules. Low pre-trade volume can increase execution risk for new orders.
KALSHI has resolution and contingency policies for data outages, halted markets, and ambiguous cases; they may use fallback feeds, apply arbitration rules, or declare the event void depending on the circumstances. Review KALSHI's resolution procedures linked on the event page for the definitive process.