| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.4223 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach the price target of $38.4223 within a 15-minute observation window. It matters because short-window price hits capture extreme intraday volatility and are relevant for traders who trade microstructure events or test market liquidity and execution.
HYPE is a tradable crypto token whose short-term price moves can be driven by thin liquidity, exchange-specific order flows, and rapid news or social media-driven interest. Markets that resolve on minute-scale targets highlight the role of high-frequency traders, retail momentum, and exchange latency in producing transient price extremes.
Market odds on this contract reflect the aggregated trading beliefs about whether HYPE will touch or cross the specified target during the 15-minute window; they are dynamic and update as new information (order flow, trades, news) arrives. Use odds as a real-time consensus signal, not a guaranteed forecast, and always consult the event's settlement rules for precise definitions.
It asks whether the asset HYPE will reach the price level $38.4223 at any point during a specific 15-minute observation window defined by the market. Check the event page for the exact UTC timing and settlement definitions.
Settlement uses the price source and methodology specified on the Kalshi event page; that typically names the exchange(s) and whether settlement uses last trade, mid-price, or a reference index. Always read the contract details on the platform to know the official feed.
Whether a momentary touch counts depends on the market's settlement rule (for example, 'price meets or exceeds target at any sampled time' versus averaged observations). Consult the contract's resolution criteria to confirm how transient crossings are treated.
Minute-scale target markets are sensitive to thin liquidity: a single market order, a coordinated trade, or an algorithmic execution can cause rapid spikes or gaps that change the market's assessment of the target being reachable.
A TBD close means the platform will post the official observation window and trading cutoff later; participants should monitor the Kalshi event page and platform notifications for the announced close time and any last-minute rule clarifications.