| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.4149 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will reach a target price of $38.4149 within a specified 15-minute window; it matters because it lets traders express and discover short-term expectations about HYPE's price action.
Short-duration, fixed-target markets like this are common in crypto prediction trading because digital-asset prices can move rapidly and intraday events often drive large swings. These contracts are used for quick speculation, short-term hedging, or to test market sentiment around a single price threshold. Resolution conventions (which exact timestamp or price feed is used) vary by platform, so consult the event's rule text on KALSHI for the authoritative method.
Market odds reflect the collective trading activity and information available at any moment; they change as new orders and news arrive. Treat displayed odds as a dynamic consensus that updates up to the event's resolution.
Resolution depends on whether the official price observation method specified on the KALSHI event page shows HYPE reaching the $38.4149 threshold during the defined 15-minute measurement window; consult the event rules for the precise feed and comparison rule (e.g., last trade, mid-price, or time-weighted average).
The start time is defined by the event's resolution rules on the KALSHI page—common triggers include the market's scheduled start time or a specified reference exchange timestamp; check the event details on KALSHI for the authoritative start and any UTC/timezone conventions.
KALSHI's event description and resolution rules list the designated reference feed or exchange(s) used for settlement; if multiple feeds are listed, the rules will explain how they are aggregated or prioritized for determining the observed price.
Immediate drivers include large limit or market orders from whales, sudden exchange order-book imbalances, last-minute news or token announcements, viral social-media posts, and algorithmic trading strategies that target short windows—any of these can rapidly move the minute-level price used for resolution.
Settlement is cash-based per KALSHI's platform rules and occurs after the official resolution is published; platform fee schedules, settlement timing, and any dispute resolution procedures are available in KALSHI's help center or the specific event page—review those resources before entering a position.