| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.3013 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled HYPE will reach the specific price target of $38.3013 within a defined 15-minute measurement window. It matters to traders who want to speculate on very short-term price moves and to observers tracking extreme intraday volatility events.
Short fixed-target, short-duration markets isolate fleeting price action that can be driven by order-flow, exchange listings, or news-triggered spikes. Because the market currently lists the close time as TBD, participants should monitor the KALSHI market page and official resolution rules for the exact timing and data sources that will be used. These markets emphasize execution timing and data-source definitions rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds on the platform summarize collective trading sentiment about whether the target will be met during the 15-minute window and update as new information arrives. Use the live market page and the posted resolution terms to interpret odds alongside known risks such as low liquidity and data-source idiosyncrasies.
The market will resolve according to the resolution language on the KALSHI market page; typically that means the official price source must report HYPE at or above $38.3013 at some point within the specified 15-minute window, but you must consult the market's posted resolution criteria for the definitive rule (inclusive vs. exclusive equality, measurement method, etc.).
The start and close times, including the timezone, are defined on the market page; because the event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', check the KALSHI listing for updates. KALSHI's resolution rules will indicate whether the window is anchored to a fixed timestamp or to another event.
KALSHI specifies the official data source(s) used for settlement in the market's resolution section—this may be a named exchange, a price-aggregation service, or an oracle. Verify the listed source on the market page before trading, since different sources can report different instantaneous prices.
On-platform trading volume does not change the resolution criteria; it only indicates how active this market has been among traders on KALSHI. Low platform volume can make it harder to enter or exit positions at desired prices and can cause quoted odds to move more on small trades.
Edge-case handling (exact equality at window boundaries, timestamp granularity, and which data point is used) is defined in the market's official resolution terms. If those terms do not fully answer your question, contact KALSHI support or consult the platform's rulebook linked on the market page.