| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.2505 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the underlying crypto instrument named in the event will reach a target price of $38.2505 during a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because very short-duration price-target markets highlight intraday liquidity, volatility, and order-flow dynamics that influence short-term trading strategies.
Markets that reference short time windows and precise price targets are commonly used to capture microstructure events such as large orders, exchange-specific outages, or rapid sentiment shifts. These markets are sensitive to exchange data feeds, high-frequency trading activity, and any news or on-chain events that occur immediately before or during the 15-minute window. Because the market closes are listed as TBD, resolution timing and data sources are critical to monitor on the platform.
Market odds reflect the collective market view of whether the price target will be met within the defined 15-minute window and will move as new information arrives. Treat odds as a real-time synthesis of available information, liquidity, and trader sentiment rather than a fixed forecast.
The market will resolve based on the specific 15-minute start and end times defined in the market description on KALSHI; check the market page for the official start timestamp. If the page lists no start time, follow KALSHI’s rules and announcements for timing.
Resolution normally relies on the data source and price feed specified in the market text; if unspecified, KALSHI’s published resolution rules explain which exchange or aggregated feed will be used and how touches or prints at the target price are judged.
Boundary cases are resolved according to the market’s settlement rules as stated by KALSHI; typically the market description or KALSHI’s dispute/resolution policy clarifies whether a touch at an endpoint qualifies, so consult those documents before trading.
Zero volume indicates no trades have been executed yet; this can reflect low interest, uncertainty about resolution details, or that the window is far in the future. Low liquidity can widen execution costs and increase price impact for any orders placed.
Yes—historically, similar short-duration price-target markets are often decided by transient liquidity events, large single orders, or exchange anomalies rather than fundamentals. Review prior short-window markets on the same platform and examine time-of-day effects, typical spread behavior, and past resolution notes to inform your view.