| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.2259 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled HYPE will reach the $38.2259 price target within a defined 15‑minute observation window; it matters to traders who trade or hedge around rapid, intraday crypto moves.
Short-duration markets like this focus on very quick price action and therefore react strongly to order book events, liquidity and high-frequency flows. The instrument name and target are set by the market creator on KALSHI; settlement mechanics (exact observation window start, price source, rounding, and inclusion rules) are defined in the contract terms. Closure/settlement timing is listed as TBD on the summary, so traders should watch the market page for updates.
Market prices (odds) represent the collective expectation of whether the $38.2259 target will be met during the 15‑minute window and update in real time as new information arrives. For a single‑outcome market, the quoted price reflects the market’s current consensus given the contract’s settlement rules.
The outcome is determined by the contract’s settlement rules: if the designated reference price for HYPE reaches (or exceeds, depending on the contract wording) $38.2259 within the specified 15‑minute observation window, the market resolves as 'met'; consult the market's rules for whether the threshold is inclusive, what timestamping method is used, and how ties/prints are handled.
The market summary currently lists closure as TBD; the exact open/close times and the start of the 15‑minute observation window will be posted on the KALSHI market page and in the contract terms—monitor that page or platform notifications for the assigned schedule.
Settlement depends on the reference data source specified in the contract (a named exchange, index, or oracle); check the market description or contract documentation on KALSHI to identify the authoritative feed and any tie‑breaking or aggregation rules.
A volume of $0 means no trades have executed yet, which typically signals low liquidity; that can produce wide bid/ask spreads and large price impact for orders, so traders should be cautious and consider order size, execution strategy, and potential difficulty exiting positions.
Participants include short‑term speculators and scalpers, market makers and liquidity providers, high‑frequency trading algorithms, and large token holders or whales whose trades can move price; cross‑exchange arbitrageurs can also affect the referenced feed if discrepancies exist.