| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $38.0027 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether a crypto price will hit the specified $38.0027 target during a 15-minute HYPE window on KALSHI; it matters because short, concentrated price moves can produce outsized gains or losses for traders focused on micro-duration events.
HYPE-style contracts are very short-duration, event-driven markets that settle based on a specific price reference and a tight time window. These contracts are influenced by exchange microstructure, oracle selection, and rapid flow from algorithmic traders and news-driven orders. Because settlement depends on precise timestamps and reference sources, small differences in data feeds or latency can determine the outcome.
Market odds reflect traders’ aggregated expectations about whether the stated condition will be met and incorporate views on volatility, liquidity, and the reliability of the reference price feed; they should be read as the market’s consensus expectation, not a guarantee of outcome.
Resolution depends on the event’s stated settlement condition: typically the contract resolves if the official reference price reaches the stated level within the defined 15-minute window. Check the event page’s resolution rules to see whether a trade, quote, or aggregated price is required and how exact matches or boundary cases are handled.
The start and end timestamps are specified on the KALSHI event page for this contract; some HYPE contracts begin at a scheduled UTC time while others may be tied to a triggering trade or index update. Because this event currently shows 'Closes: TBD', consult the event details for the final schedule once posted.
The event’s resolution source (named exchange, aggregated index, or external oracle) is listed in the event description. If the page does not specify, contact the platform or check the contract’s rules section—settlement will follow the referenced feed as described there.
A $0 volume indication means no trades have occurred yet on the market; it signals low or no liquidity so far, which can lead to wide spreads and greater price impact once orders begin. Volume does not affect how the contract settles; it only reflects market participation to date.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the contract’s settlement mechanics—some markets count any timestamped trade at or above the target, others require a trade of minimum size or an aggregated price. Review the event’s resolution criteria for rules on minimal trade size, quote versus trade distinctions, and how boundary timestamps are treated.