| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.9865 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled “HYPE” will hit a price target of $37.9865 within a specified 15‑minute window. It matters because short-duration price-target markets isolate intraminute volatility and can signal how traders expect rapid moves or liquidity events to play out.
Markets with very short windows (minutes) test exchange microstructure, oracle design, and real‑time news sensitivity. Resolution depends entirely on the price feed, measurement (trade vs. mid), and the exact window times named by Kalshi; because this market currently shows zero volume and a closing time of "TBD," expect thin liquidity until the platform posts full timing and resolution details.
Prediction market prices are shorthand for the crowd’s current view on the event given available information; with low or no volume they can be noisy and change quickly as new orders arrive. Use the market price alongside direct price feeds, order‑book data, and your own risk model rather than treating it as a definitive forecast.
The market’s resolution text on Kalshi will state the precise start and end timestamps and timezone; because the listing currently shows "Closes: TBD," you should check the market page regularly for the official window and any updates before trading.
The market’s resolution clause identifies the official price source and whether it uses trade prices, a consolidated index, or midpoints; confirm that language on the market page—if it’s unclear, contact Kalshi support for clarification prior to placing trades.
That depends on the market wording: if the event resolves on "reaches at any time during the window," a single qualifying trade typically suffices; if it requires a closing or time‑weighted price, transient touches may not count—read the resolution criteria for this specific market.
Zero volume means price discovery hasn’t occurred and liquidity is likely minimal; initial trades can move the market substantially, so expect wide spreads and potential slippage and consider testing with small sizes or waiting for additional participation.
Examine tick and 1‑minute price history for HYPE, recent realized intraminute volatility, order‑book snapshots from the exchange(s) referenced by the market, and outcomes of any prior short‑duration HYPE markets on Kalshi to gauge how often similar short targets were met.