| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.9793 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset HYPE will trade at or above $37.9793 during a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because very short-duration price targets can be driven by microstructure events and are of interest to traders who focus on brief volatility and execution risk.
HYPE refers to the token or asset named in the contract; its recent price history, exchange listings, and liquidity profile provide the backdrop for this short-window bet. Fifteen-minute targets are influenced more by order-book dynamics, single large trades, and algorithmic activity than by longer-term fundamentals, so historical volatility and market structure are especially relevant.
Market odds on this page summarize traders' collective expectations about whether HYPE will hit the $37.9793 target within the 15-minute window; they update in real time as new information and trades occur. Treat the odds as a real-time sentiment indicator rather than a guarantee of outcome.
HYPE must trade at or above $37.9793 during the continuous 15-minute interval specified by the market's rules. The event's resolution criteria define whether 'trade' means last-trade price, consolidated index, or another feed—consult the market's official settlement rules on the event page.
The market's start and close times and the method for selecting the 15-minute interval are set in the event details; because the close is currently listed as TBD, you should monitor the event page for updates and the official timeline published there.
Settlement uses whichever exchange(s) or data sources are specified in the market's resolution criteria. That could be a single exchange, a set of exchanges, or an aggregated oracle—check the event's resolution source on the KALSHI market page to see the authoritative feeds.
Zero or very low traded volume suggests limited on-market participation to date, which increases the price impact of individual trades and the risk of short-lived, manipulable spikes. Low volume also typically means wider spreads and higher execution uncertainty for anyone attempting to trade around the event.
Likely drivers include a large market order from a single holder, sudden positive news or a high-profile social-media mention, an exchange listing or delisting event, coordinated bot activity or exploit, and temporary liquidity withdrawals. Conversely, liquidity providers and arbitrage bots can quickly counteract transient moves.