| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.9611 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the asset labeled "HYPE" will reach a price target of $37.9611 during a specified 15-minute observation window. It matters to short-term traders and observers because it isolates minute-level price action and liquidity risks for that asset.
Short-duration crypto contracts like this rely on high-frequency price moves, order book depth, and real-time news; small flows or exchange-level events can change the outcome quickly. The asset's recent volatility, any scheduled announcements, and which exchange or aggregator provides the settlement price are all important historical and structural context. Because the market closes and settles according to the contract’s data source rules, readers should consult the event page for the official measurement and settlement details.
Market odds on this contract aggregate trader beliefs about whether the 15-minute window will see the $37.9611 price touched according to the contract’s settlement rules. Movement in those odds reflects new information, changing liquidity, and trader risk preferences rather than objective probability guarantees.
It denotes the length of the observation window during which the contract checks whether the specified price is reached. The event’s contract on KALSHI defines the exact start time and mechanism for that 15-minute window, so consult the event details for the precise timing rules.
The target is a numeric price threshold; the contract settles based on whether the specified settlement feed records a price at or through that level during the observation window. The precise definition of a valid tick (e.g., midpoint vs. last trade) and whether equality counts will be spelled out in the market’s settlement rules.
KALSHI lists the official settlement source on the event page and in the contract terms; that designated exchange or data aggregator is the definitive source for determining whether the target was reached.
The event currently shows a TBD close; the market will close according to the schedule published on the event page and KALSHI’s rules. If the recorded data is ambiguous or there are feed problems, settlement follows KALSHI’s dispute and adjudication procedures as described in the platform’s rules.
Actions include large market orders or block trades, sudden listings or delistings, breaking news or social media-driven coordinated activity, algorithmic trading spikes, and exchange-specific incidents like outages or order book imbalances that produce rapid price moves.