| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.9608 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the HYPE crypto price will reach the $37.9608 target within a defined 15-minute window; it matters for traders and observers who want to hedge or gauge very short-term price moves and market microstructure.
Short-duration crypto contracts like this focus on intra-minute order flow, exchange execution, and immediate reaction to news or liquidity shifts. These markets historically show rapid swings in sentiment and are highly sensitive to exchange-specific data feeds, algorithmic trading, and single large orders. Because the outcome resolves on a narrow time frame, small operational differences (feed source, timestamping, trade reporting) can be decisive.
Prediction market prices reflect the market’s real-time consensus about whether the event will occur, incorporating available public information and participant risk appetite. Treat those odds as a fast-moving signal, not a guarantee: they can change quickly as new trades, orders, or data arrive.
Settlement follows the event’s official resolution criteria on the Kalshi contract page: it will specify whether any reported trade, quoted price, or consolidated feed reaching or exceeding $37.9608 during the 15-minute window constitutes a hit. Check the contract’s resolution rules for the precise definition.
The start time is set and published on the Kalshi event page; because this listing currently has 'Closes: TBD', monitor the market page or official Kalshi notifications for the announced start timestamp and any pre-market details.
The contract’s resolution section names the designated source(s) (exchange, aggregated feed, or price oracle) Kalshi will use. Consult that section on the event page to see which specific feeds determine settlement.
Shallow order books make the price more sensitive to individual trades, and reporting latency or differing timestamp conventions between exchanges and the resolution feed can create divergence between displayed market prices and the official settlement price. These operational factors can materially influence whether the target is recorded during the window.
Resolution depends on the contract’s rules: some markets use the raw feed including anomalous trades, while others apply filters or use consolidated pricing to mitigate obvious outliers. Review the event’s dispute and settlement policy on Kalshi to understand how anomalies are handled and whether any cleanup or dispute procedures apply.