| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $37.8922 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether the crypto asset labeled 'HYPE' will meet a specific price target of $37.8922 during a 15-minute observation window. It matters because very short-window markets amplify the impact of intraday volatility and single large trades on settlement.
Short-duration crypto targets like this are rooted in the high volatility and continuous trading of cryptocurrency markets; prices can swing rapidly on exchanges, news, or large single orders. Because the window is only 15 minutes, outcomes are especially sensitive to exchange-level events, liquidity conditions, and the defined price source used for settlement. Historical microstructure events (order-book gaps, exchange re-listings, or high-frequency activity) are often the decisive drivers for similarly structured markets.
Market prices on prediction platforms reflect the aggregated views and willingness-to-bet of participants and update as new information arrives; they are not guarantees but real-time market signals. For this event, interpret quotes as the crowd's current assessment of whether the target will be hit in the specified 15-minute window, keeping in mind low liquidity can make prices misleading.
It refers to a defined 15-minute observation interval during which the market checks whether HYPE reaches the $37.8922 target. The market page and official rules will specify the exact start and end timestamps and how that window is triggered.
Settlement depends on the market's declared price source and method—some markets use the last trade on a specific exchange, others an aggregated index or mid-price. Check the event's rules on the KALSHI page to see the official settlement definition.
KALSHI will publish the official close/start time on the market page when scheduled; you can watch the market, subscribe to notifications, or use the platform API for updates. The 15-minute window will begin according to the platform's published timeline.
Zero volume means no trades have yet occurred in this market, indicating very low liquidity and potentially wide spreads. 'Number of outcomes: 1' typically signals a single binary-style outcome is being offered; be cautious with order size because entering or exiting positions may move the market price.
Immediate causes include large exchange trades or wash-pairs, token listings/delistings, breaking news about the project, and exchange feed issues. Because the window is short, even a single sizable order or a brief data anomaly can determine settlement.